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Article

Crude Oil’s Recent Tumble and Next Stop

By Elliott H. Gue on May. 9, 2017
Crude-oil prices collapsed last week due to a combination of fundamental and technical factors.On the fundamental front, the rapid recovery in US oil production has been and will remain the biggest story in 2017. Odds are good (better than 50 percent) that WTI will approach the low end of our anticipated $40 to $45 per barrel price range before stabilizing.

French Elections and European Markets

By Yiannis G. Mostrous on Apr. 23, 2017
Investors rightly worry that a Le Pen victory could change the euro picture overnight and cause initially hazardous reaction (e.g. European stock markets fall 20-30 percent). Other regions won’t escape such a sell off. Remember that the S&P 500 fell close to 20 percent in May 2011 when fears of Greece exiting the eurozone surfaced. Our view is less alarmist.

Why Did Oil Prices Walk off a Cliff?

By Elliott H. Gue on Mar. 14, 2017
The breakdown in oil prices dominated financial headlines over the past week. WTI had ranged between $50.50 and $51.50 per barrel for much of 2017 until the commodity tumbled through this floor, the psychologically important price of $50 per barrel and the 200-day moving average of $48.67 per barrel. What happened?

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