Our current outlook calls for China’s economy to grow between 6.5 and 7 percent this year. We remain concerned about how domestic demand and the service sector will cope with deflationary pressures, but the Mainland economy appears to have stabilized. Investors should remain cautious in the near term.
We explore the recent devaluation of the renminbi, analyze market’s misreading of this development and explain why we remain cautious on Chinese equities in the near term but like the financial sector over the long haul.
The mining industry continues to grapple with persistent oversupplies of many base metals, depressed prices and rising costs. This recent spin-off promises a generous dividend and incremental upside from cost cutting.
An influx of liquidity from Chinese investors, coupled with the central bank’s recent rate cuts, has propelled China’s equity markets to big gains. We book another solid profit on one of our previous picks, highlight our favorite Chinese stocks and identify two other Asian equity markets that should ride this liquidity wave higher.
European equities have delivered impressive total returns this year on a constant-currency basis, but currency headwinds have eroded these gains for US investors. We take profits on previous picks, update our outlook for the EU economy and highlight some new favorites.
The long-term growth story for Asia’s emerging markets will gain support from reform efforts under way in China, India and Indonesia. Reasonable valuations in these equity markets create a decent entry point for patient investors who take the long view.
Concerns about slowing economic growth in China, coupled with supply overhangs in many key commodity markets, have weighed on share prices in the mining industry. But bargains abound for income-seeking investors with the patience to wait for a recovery.
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