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Investment Strategy

A Change in Plans

By Elliott H. Gue on Nov. 17, 2016
President-elect Donald Trump’s plans for a massive fiscal stimulus via tax cuts and infrastructure spending should extend and perhaps accelerate a lackluster economic recovery that had started to peter out. With the economic outlook improving and inflationary pressure on the rise, this stimulus could give the Federal Reserve the leeway to hike interest rates at a faster pace than previously expected.

Income Investing in a Low-Rate World

By Roger S. Conrad on Jul. 27, 2016
Divided-paying equities of all stripes have rallied hard since the Federal Reserve backed down from its plan to hike interest rates this year, propelling many of our favorite names to frothy valuations. We highlight a strategy for a challenging environment where rates remain low, and valuation multiples and economic uncertainty remain elevated.

Welcome to the Funhouse

By Elliott H. Gue on Jun. 24, 2016
An extended period of extraordinarily accommodative monetary policy has distorted asset prices, resulting in some curious (and concerning) dislocations. The S&P 500 trades at historically elevated valuations usually seen during periods of robust economic growth, while some of Europe’s strongest sovereign credits sport negative yields.  

Sell in May?

By Elliott H. Gue on Apr. 27, 2016
The US economy continues to grow at a lackluster pace, first-quarter earnings have disappointed and the S&P 500 trades at stretched valuations. Although none of these factors preclude additional upside in US equities over the near term, we stand by our cautious outlook for the broader market and prefer to focus on defense.

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