China is the stock market investors love to hate. The conversations are always about what could go wrong and rarely what could, or will, go right. And yet China’s equities have outperformed emerging markets during the past one-, three- and five-year periods. For the past year, we’ve made the case that cyclicals and growth names should be the focus when investing in China.
The so-called FAANG stocks–Facebook, Amazon.com, Apple, Netflix and Alphabet–are up an average of 28.8 percent in 2017 compared to a 7.5 percent gain for the S&P 500. These large-cap names have paced the index’s gains so far this year. Should any or all of these stocks falter, the S&P 500 could quickly lose altitude.
Crude-oil prices collapsed last week due to a combination of fundamental and technical factors.On the fundamental front, the rapid recovery in US oil production has been and will remain the biggest story in 2017. Odds are good (better than 50 percent) that WTI will approach the low end of our anticipated $40 to $45 per barrel price range before stabilizing.
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