OPEC's Nov. 30 meeting yielded an accord to cut oil production by 1.2 million barrels per day, sending the price of West Texas Intermediate 9 percent higher on Wednesday and 3.5 percent higher on Thursday. After this exuberance subsides, the market's focus will shift to whether OPEC members honor their agreement and a potential recovery in US oil production.
Gold prices initially surged on the news of Trump's triumph, but the yellow metal sold off in subsequent trading sessions to about $1,200 per ounce. An uptick in economic growth and inflation from fiscal expansion would take pressure off the Federal Reserve to be the sole engine of economic growth, which could result in two potential outcomes for gold.
The Federal Reserve has contended with deflationary pressures and a slower rate of potential economic growth, challenges that have made it difficult to hike interest rates. Higher inflation and stronger GDP growth should enable the US central bank to hike interest rates without damaging the economy or triggering a selloff in the stock market. The prospect of accelerating economic growth, higher interest rates and reduce regulation should give financial stocks a boost.
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