Investment correlations that favored passive investment strategies are likely to break down while the bull market nears its end, favoring strong pickers. Look to emerging markets for some of the best opportunities.
Gold prices initially surged on the news of Trump's triumph, but the yellow metal sold off in subsequent trading sessions to about $1,200 per ounce. An uptick in economic growth and inflation from fiscal expansion would take pressure off the Federal Reserve to be the sole engine of economic growth, which could result in two potential outcomes for gold.
A quick review of productivity and wage-inflation theory explains the difference between the current slow-growth period and previous bull markets. It’s time to be cautious and be ready to take action if the Federal Reserve increases rates.
The S&P 500’s flat performance this year belies a number of major market and economic trends that investors can ride to profits. These key themes will inform our investment strategy as we continue to assemble our shopping list for a potential pullback in the stock market.
European equities have delivered impressive total returns this year on a constant-currency basis, but currency headwinds have eroded these gains for US investors. We take profits on previous picks, update our outlook for the EU economy and highlight some new favorites.
The long-term growth story for Asia’s emerging markets will gain support from reform efforts under way in China, India and Indonesia. Reasonable valuations in these equity markets create a decent entry point for patient investors who take the long view.
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