Global growth trades will prove to be the winners in this last phase of the bull market. But success with them will require accuracy and agility. Outperformance will favor strong stock pickers, as investment correlations that favored passive investment strategies break down while the bull market nears its end. Emerging markets should continue to outperform for the rest of the year.
On a price to book metric, the energy sector trades at a 50 percent discount to its 20-year average. That makes it the cheapest sector in the emerging markets universe. Our favorite company fits well with our Asia-focused investment thesis and current geopolitical trends.
Investment correlations that favored passive investment strategies are likely to break down while the bull market nears its end, favoring strong pickers. Look to emerging markets for some of the best opportunities.
China is the stock market investors love to hate. The conversations are always about what could go wrong and rarely what could, or will, go right. And yet China’s equities have outperformed emerging markets during the past one-, three- and five-year periods. For the past year, we’ve made the case that cyclicals and growth names should be the focus when investing in China.
For some time, mining companies thought diversifying their portfolios was the best way to improve cash flow stability and protect themselves from natural resources cycles and increased volatility. That hasn’t worked, at least not as expected.
Anheuser-Busch InBev’s unparalleled scale and experienced management team give the company a huge competitive advantage in capitalizing on long-term growth in emerging markets and turning the craft-beer headwind into a tailwind.
China is the stock market investors love to hate. The conversations are always about what could go wrong in China and rarely about what will go right. And yet Chinese equities outperformed other emerging markets during the past one-, three- and five-year periods.
Overseas investors must pay attention to the way proposed US trade policies will affect emerging markets. And within the ones best protected, Indian small caps are our favorite, especially as domestic reform turbulence subsides.
Mexico’s king of convenience and soft drinks offers patient investors exposure to compelling near- and intermediate-term upside catalysts, though political uncertainty at home and in the US could weigh on the country’s equity market next year.
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