Investors rightly worry that a Le Pen victory could change the euro picture overnight and cause initially hazardous reaction (e.g. European stock markets fall 20-30 percent). Other regions won’t escape such a sell off. Remember that the S&P 500 fell close to 20 percent in May 2011 when fears of Greece exiting the eurozone surfaced. Our view is less alarmist.
Results from the recent Dutch elections removed one engine of political uncertainty in the eurozone. Will this year's remaining European electoral calendar echo this outcome and release an economy ready to accelerate?
If the new administration lives up to its promises and increases the defense budget during its time in office, current equity valuations in the industry should be sustainable. But prospective investors should remember that the new administration’s first proposed budget will be for 2018, so the defense industry’s financial results won’t receive a bump until 2019. And not all companies will benefit to the same degree.
Geopolitical developments will increasingly shape the global economy and how investors allocate capital. We look at two companies primed to benefit from increased defense spending in key parts of the world.
Demand for economic growth from both politicians and the electorate is growing, leading to increasing talk and some planning for major infrastructure projects. The move here is to focus more on the companies likely to benefit than a macro story that lifts the entire area.
Investors combing Europe for opportunities should focus on high-quality names. Adventurous readers may want to consider Spanish equities; the market trades at a discount to its European peers and could offer significant upside potential if sentiment toward Latin America continues to improve.
Leaving the EU won’t do Britain’s already-weak economy any favors, while the move could also jeopardize the UK’s own union. We examine the political and economic climate in Europe and its implications for investors.
European equities stand to benefit from a number of tailwinds in 2016. We highlight two stocks that should outperform and two exchange-traded funds that offer exposure to this upside while hedging out adverse currency effects.
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