What could take utility stocks down a peg? At the end of the day, a rotation out of dividend-paying stocks could pose the biggest risk. These realities mean that active investors should stay disciplined and be nimble; volatility creates pain—and opportunities.
Many investors and the financial media tend to get bogged down by volatility and “noise” in economic data releases. We prefer to look at a handful of big-picture indicators that have stood the test of time. And these indicators point to continued strength in the economy.
While the broader market looks strong on the surface, underlying trends have weakened considerably over the past six months. Accordingly, we believe a 5 to 10 percent pullback in the S&P 500 is likely in the final months of 2017. That correction will serve as an opportunity to add stocks to the Wealth Builders Portfolio.
Remember that the stock market comprises a wide range of investors and institutions whose different objectives and strategies dictate how they react to the news. In many instances, their approach may not align with what’s in your best interests; follow their lead at your own peril.
Technology and Internet retail companies have largely driven the S&P 500’s run. These stocks, while not yet at the sky-high valuations that prevailed in 1999-2000, are now far from cheap. To protect against the pullbacks history tells us is common, we're adding a hedge to the Portfolio.
Passive management works for some people some of the time. Recognizing how and when it doesn’t work is key for downside protection and proper investment allocation. Plus, we end with an update on two of our portfolio holdings.
With little sign the US is headed for recession by the middle of next year, there’s more upside for stocks this cycle. It’s dangerous to sell out too soon and miss out on the final months of the bull market.
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