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Investing Topics: Oil Prices

Crude Oil’s Recent Tumble and Next Stop

By Elliott H. Gue on May. 9, 2017
Crude-oil prices collapsed last week due to a combination of fundamental and technical factors.On the fundamental front, the rapid recovery in US oil production has been and will remain the biggest story in 2017. Odds are good (better than 50 percent) that WTI will approach the low end of our anticipated $40 to $45 per barrel price range before stabilizing.

Why Did Oil Prices Walk off a Cliff?

By Elliott H. Gue on Mar. 14, 2017
The breakdown in oil prices dominated financial headlines over the past week. WTI had ranged between $50.50 and $51.50 per barrel for much of 2017 until the commodity tumbled through this floor, the psychologically important price of $50 per barrel and the 200-day moving average of $48.67 per barrel. What happened?

New Energy

By Elliott H. Gue on Jan. 19, 2017
The big story for energy markets in the first half of 2017 will be a stronger-than-expected surge in US shale oil production that keeps the lid on global oil prices. To take advantage, we’re adding a midstream processing and pipeline company to the portfolio.

Why OPEC’s Math Doesn’t Add Up

By Elliott H. Gue on Dec. 5, 2016
OPEC's Nov. 30 meeting yielded an accord to cut oil production by 1.2 million barrels per day, sending the price of West Texas Intermediate 9 percent higher on Wednesday and 3.5 percent higher on Thursday. After this exuberance subsides, the market's focus will shift to whether OPEC members honor their agreement and a potential recovery in US oil production.

Crude Realities

By Elliott H. Gue on Mar. 16, 2016
The Wealth Builders Portfolio’s sole representative from the energy sector has given up only 10 percent of its value despite a 70 percent collapse in oil prices. We revisit our outlook for oil prices and explain why we see more upside to come for our lone energy pick, though investors should stay disciplined a resist the urge to overpay.

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