Investing Topics: Oil Prices

Crude Oil’s Recent Tumble and Next Stop

By Elliott H. Gue on May. 9, 2017

Crude-oil prices collapsed last week due to a combination of fundamental and technical factors.On the fundamental front, the rapid recovery in US oil production has been and will remain the biggest story in 2017. Odds are good (better than 50 percent) that WTI will approach the low end of our anticipated $40 to $45 per barrel price range before stabilizing.

Why Did Oil Prices Walk off a Cliff?

By Elliott H. Gue on Mar. 14, 2017

The breakdown in oil prices dominated financial headlines over the past week. WTI had ranged between $50.50 and $51.50 per barrel for much of 2017 until the commodity tumbled through this floor, the psychologically important price of $50 per barrel and the 200-day moving average of $48.67 per barrel. What happened?

US Oil Production Shifting Into Growth Mode

By Peter Staas on Feb. 12, 2017

US natural-gas exports to Mexico will continue to grow over the next five years, creating opportunities for investors north and south of the border.

New Energy

By Elliott H. Gue on Jan. 19, 2017

The big story for energy markets in the first half of 2017 will be a stronger-than-expected surge in US shale oil production that keeps the lid on global oil prices. To take advantage, we’re adding a midstream processing and pipeline company to the portfolio.

Crystal Ball 2017

By Elliott H. Gue on Dec. 28, 2016

We review our 2016 forecasts and look at the out-of-consensus calls and market trends likely to generate market moves and profit in 2017.

Why OPEC’s Math Doesn’t Add Up

By Elliott H. Gue on Dec. 5, 2016

OPEC's Nov. 30 meeting yielded an accord to cut oil production by 1.2 million barrels per day, sending the price of West Texas Intermediate 9 percent higher on Wednesday and 3.5 percent higher on Thursday. After this exuberance subsides, the market's focus will shift to whether OPEC members honor their agreement and a potential recovery in US oil production.

Yes, We Shale

By Elliott H. Gue on Nov. 16, 2016

US oil production appears to be bottoming, but investors seeking to profit in an environment where prices will likely range between $40 and $60 per barrel must pay attention to basin-specific trends as well as companies’ balance sheets and acreage quality.

How OPEC’s November Meeting could Drive Oil to the $30s

By Elliott H. Gue on Nov. 11, 2016

OPEC's upcoming meeting to decide the next round of oil production faces a number of obstacles, making a variety of outcomes possible. Here are the most likely ones, as well as the reasons oil will likely head to the $30s per barrel.

Near-Term Outlook for Oil Prices Creates Opportunities

By Elliott H. Gue on Aug. 31, 2016

We continue to expect a final swoon in oil prices over the next one to two months, a move that could create another buying opportunity for energy stocks.

Crude Realities

By Elliott H. Gue on Mar. 16, 2016

The Wealth Builders Portfolio’s sole representative from the energy sector has given up only 10 percent of its value despite a 70 percent collapse in oil prices. We revisit our outlook for oil prices and explain why we see more upside to come for our lone energy pick, though investors should stay disciplined a resist the urge to overpay.

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Elliott H. Gue

Founder and Chief Editor:
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Roger S. Conrad

Founder and Chief Editor:
Capitalist Times and
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Yiannis G. Mostrous

Editor: Capitalist Times

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