OPEC's Nov. 30 meeting yielded an accord to cut oil production by 1.2 million barrels per day, sending the price of West Texas Intermediate 9 percent higher on Wednesday and 3.5 percent higher on Thursday. After this exuberance subsides, the market's focus will shift to whether OPEC members honor their agreement and a potential recovery in US oil production.
OPEC's upcoming meeting to decide the next round of oil production faces a number of obstacles, making a variety of outcomes possible. Here are the most likely ones, as well as the reasons oil will likely head to the $30s per barrel.
The Wealth Builders Portfolio’s sole representative from the energy sector has given up only 10 percent of its value despite a 70 percent collapse in oil prices. We revisit our outlook for oil prices and explain why we see more upside to come for our lone energy pick, though investors should stay disciplined a resist the urge to overpay.
The financial infotainment industry has hyped the diplomatic tension between Iran and Saudi Arabia as a geopolitical risk that will support crude-oil prices. There's a reason Monday's pop in crude-oil prices was so short-lived: this narrative just isn't true.
The financial infotainment industry doesn't let the facts get in the way of a good story, especially when it comes to the oil market and its complexities. Recent articles hinting that Saudi Arabia and OPEC could reduce oil output to support pricing may attract eyeballs, but they represent shoddy journalism. Elevated inventories and the impending refinery turnaround season suggest that oil prices will suffer another leg down.
DISCLAIMER: Capitalist Times, LLC is a publisher of financial news and opinions and NOT a securities broker/dealer or an investment advisor. You are responsible for your own investment decisions. All information contained in our newsletters or on our website(s) should be independently verified with the companies mentioned, and readers should always conduct their own research and due diligence and consider obtaining professional advice before making any investment decision. As a condition to accessing Capitalist Times materials and websites, you agree to our Terms and Conditions of Use, available here including without limitation all disclaimers of warranties and limitations on liability contained therein. Owners, employees and writers may hold positions in the securities that are discussed in our newsletters or on our website.