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Investing Topics: Technical Analysis

The Value of Valuation

By Elliott H. Gue on Oct. 5, 2015
Valuations affect the S&P 500’s returns, but this impact manifests itself more clearly over the long haul. In other words, price-to-earnings ratios are a poor metric for timing the market, but a useful tool for investors looking to hold positions over a longer time frame. What does that mean for investors? The stock market looks expensive right now; historically, buying the S&P 500 at these levels would result in positive, but subpar, returns over the next 10 years

Anatomy of a Market Top

By Elliott H. Gue on Sep. 16, 2015
Technical indicators from the last four bear markets to ravage US equities suggest that a correction of at least 20 percent could be in store for the S&P 500. At this juncture, the risk of a US recession remains low, which should limit the coming bear market's severity and duration. However, we'll continue to monitor our favorite economic indicators for deterioration.

Tuning Out the Noise: All the News That’s Fit for Profit

By Elliott H. Gue on Jul. 21, 2015
Over the past month, Greece’s potential exit from the eurozone and the precipitous drop in the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index have dominated the headlines. But neither event has affected our market outlook or the picks in our Wealth Builders Portfolio. We run down all the economic news that’s fit for profit.

Looking for a Pullback

By Elliott H. Gue on Apr. 30, 2015
Technical factors and weakness in the US economy suggest that the risk of a 5 percent to 10 percent pullback in the S&P 500 continues to rise. As a precaution, we’ve exited a number of positions in recent months, usually for a profit. We highlight several stocks we’re watching for potential inclusion in our Wealth Builders Portfolio.

Looking into the Crystal Ball: Our Outlook for Stocks and the Economy in 2015

By Elliott H. Gue on Dec. 29, 2014
Our annual forecasts provide a useful framework for the coming year and underpin our investment strategy. However, we don’t regard these predictions as written in stone; our outlook necessarily evolves when market and economic developments warrant a change.