Although our outlook for oil prices and the US energy patch favors an overweight position in core midstream holdings, nimble investors can generate alpha in upstream names by buying when oil prices retreat to the low end of their range and taking some profits off the table when they recover.
Nevertheless, our outlook has called for natural gas to remain volatile but range-bound, as spikes toward $3 per million British thermal units (mmBtu) will sow the seeds of their destruction by incentivizing production growth and prompt electric utilities to switch from gas to coal. Conversely, moves below $2 per mmBtu will encourage demand and prompt exploration and production companies to slow their drilling and completion activity.
In an environment where energy prices remain lower for longer and short-cycle US onshore plays take market share, midstream MLPs with the best growth prospects remain some of our favorite picks. Do recent IPOs represent good investment opportunities?
Every earnings season, companies in the oil-field services industry highlight emerging technologies that can help upstream operators to improve their well productivity, boost operational efficiency and reduce per-barrel production costs. The current trends and new techniques are perhaps more important than ever given current prices.
Despite the underperformance of SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration & Production (NYSE: XOP) this year because of concerns about the outlook for energy prices and surging US production, several upstream operators have completed initial public offerings and more remain on the docket. Here are our takes.
Given the uncertainty and volatility in the energy sector, we prefer midstream names that offer the best leverage to volumetric growth stories and have the balance sheet strength to pursue joint ventures with cash-strapped rivals.
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