With this year’s fourth quarter around the corner, we maintain a positive view on the miners. The majority of our preferred global macro indicators are holding well, and the mining sector still trades at a deep discount to the market. Metal prices already show strength, suggesting corporate earnings should soon follow.
Investment correlations that favored passive investment strategies are likely to break down while the bull market nears its end, favoring strong pickers. Look to emerging markets for some of the best opportunities.
While the broader market looks strong on the surface, underlying trends have weakened considerably over the past six months. Accordingly, we believe a 5 to 10 percent pullback in the S&P 500 is likely in the final months of 2017. That correction will serve as an opportunity to add stocks to the Wealth Builders Portfolio.
While the risks of today’s low-volatility stock market are clear, we continue to believe the next sell-off in the broader market will be a correction, not the beginning of a new bear market. Look for a rotation out of the growth-oriented fare and into cyclical and value groups.
Technology and Internet retail companies have largely driven the S&P 500’s run. These stocks, while not yet at the sky-high valuations that prevailed in 1999-2000, are now far from cheap. To protect against the pullbacks history tells us is common, we're adding a hedge to the Portfolio.
Passive management works for some people some of the time. Recognizing how and when it doesn’t work is key for downside protection and proper investment allocation. Plus, we end with an update on two of our portfolio holdings.
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