We continue to see new market leaders emerging to carry stocks higher and expect the upside momentum to carry through the year’s end. Expect value stocks to benefit the most, leading us to add a strong value-oriented auto play to the portfolio.
Many investors and the financial media tend to get bogged down by volatility and “noise” in economic data releases. We prefer to look at a handful of big-picture indicators that have stood the test of time. And these indicators point to continued strength in the economy.
With this year’s fourth quarter around the corner, we maintain a positive view on the miners. The majority of our preferred global macro indicators are holding well, and the mining sector still trades at a deep discount to the market. Metal prices already show strength, suggesting corporate earnings should soon follow.
Investment correlations that favored passive investment strategies are likely to break down while the bull market nears its end, favoring strong pickers. Look to emerging markets for some of the best opportunities.
While the broader market looks strong on the surface, underlying trends have weakened considerably over the past six months. Accordingly, we believe a 5 to 10 percent pullback in the S&P 500 is likely in the final months of 2017. That correction will serve as an opportunity to add stocks to the Wealth Builders Portfolio.
While the risks of today’s low-volatility stock market are clear, we continue to believe the next sell-off in the broader market will be a correction, not the beginning of a new bear market. Look for a rotation out of the growth-oriented fare and into cyclical and value groups.
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